OUTPACEsys Investment Institute
Singular Views for Profitable Investing

Another Stock Market Selloff ??
Plus
How We Did This Week: 44%, 38% and 27% Fast Profits


by Paul DeCaro    May 7th, 2010


In a Nutshell
New Opportunities
Market Trends
Comparative Performance
Alternative Markets
Sectors
Bottom line


best equities
Best of Equities

best alt markets
Best of Alt Markets

best sectors
Best of Sectors

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What We Are Doing  - Even if we had been working bearish signals for the past couple of weeks (see our previous reports), the historically largest intraday down- swing we had last Thursday was quite a surprise, due to its incredible intensity (the Dow was down over 990 points at the day low, closing at -348 points) which erased equities' all year's bull rise (and then some).

Our short term trades last week were once again very successful (44%, 38%, 27% profit respectively with QQQQ ETF options, all of them intraday, i.e. delivered in a few hours). From a more general point of view, however, the situation has become even worse for many investors, now having reasons for deeper lack of confidence in the financial markets. The causes for last Thursday crisis are still unclear. We take comfort in the power of our market analyses and the reliability of our overall system. Just as it happened in 2008, even a conservative investor following our real-time triggers would have had plenty of time to close any long term positions in their portfolio and avoid another gut- wrenching fall.

In the upcoming days, we will focus on short and mid-term opportunities (with a short leash and tight stops).

Click here to see these profitable trade triggers
we worked on the QQQQ (NASDAQ).

From last week's bearish watchlist: no surprise, our bearish picks were all sharply down with the rest of the market.



QQQQ 60min

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What The Markets Are Doing - U.S. stocks ended the week sharply lower after bouncing against long term support and are now at a middle ground which will probably generate more volatility in the upcoming week(s). This will likely mean additional stress for the long term buy-and-hold crowd. But that's not us, since even our conservative portfolio was in cash more than a week ago already and the aggressive portfolio was mostly on short positions.

Gold - Gold continued its month-long bullish run, after breaking out of a five month trading range.

Crude Oil fell sharply this week. We closed a short position started 25 days ago with a cool 68% profit.

Long Term Treasury Bonds followed the textbook reverse behaviour wrt equities. As a consequence, our mid-April bullish signal delivered great returns.


NEW OPPORTUNITIES

While the Ultra-short equities and Crude Oil ETFs are topping the chart at the end of this tumultuous week (but trade with care, given their leveraged response to volatility), Gold and Long Term Bonds have gained some significant ground and a majority of all other sectors (see performance comparison chart) are poised for high volatility and a possible further downturn next week. Watch our real-time alerts for details and timing.

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Trade Triggers - This week's QQQQ trade triggers have once again been very profitable. As shown in the one hour interval chart at right, we had great signals that delivered 44%, 38% and 27% profit - in a matter of hours - in our options positions.

We continuously follow the multiple markets that are part of our diversified portfolio and issue real-time e-mail alerts to notify our subscribers of highly reliable trading opportunities. We also provide full detail recommendations for their  implementation with your choice of stocks, ETFs and Options.

To receive the upcoming real-time triggers and trade management alerts, click here and start your own FREE subscription. 100% No Risk Guarantee!                            
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QQQQ 1hr

07 May 2010                                    Market Trends

Equities

Bouncing down from their respective long term resistance levels, the Dow Jones, S&P500 and NASDAQ ended emphatically lower last Friday after historically extreme volatility on Thursday. We only worked short term positions following our now two week old bearish stance for the equities market.



In spite of the big drop, Equities are still bullish long- term although we have a confirmed bearish signal for the mid-term. The upcoming weeks will confirm or deny entry into a bearish market. For now, we will trade the short term swings that can be expected after the extreme volatility we had last week. As the dust settles,  we will start opening new long term moves. Subscribers will receive further details in the upcoming reports.




























Crude Oil fell sharply this week. We closed a short position started 25 days ago with a cool 68% profit.

























Gold
- Gold continued its month- long bullish run, after breaking out of a five month trading range.

























Long Term Treasury Bonds followed the textbook reverse behaviour wrt equities. As a consequence, our mid-April bullish signal delivered great returns.







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Dow Jones daily
Figure 1 - Dow Jones Average daily performance and OUTPACEsys triggers

QQQQ daily
Figure 2 - QQQQ (NASDAQ) daily performance with OUTPACEsys triggers



Crude Oil (USO)Figure 3 - Crude Oil (shown as USO ETF) daily performance with OUTPACEsys triggers



Gold
Figure 4 - Gold (shown as GLD ETF) daily performance with OUTPACEsys triggers


Long Term Bonds


Comparative Performance


Equities

A sad story this week in all families of US equities. Most of YTD profits have been erased in a few days.














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Alternative Markets   
                      


YTD comparative performance of alternative markets.

Real Estate is the strongest so far this year, although last week it lost half the year's gains. The S&P500 is now slightly negative YTD.

Crude Oil joined Emerging Markets at the trailing end of the range, with a now much larger negative return.












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Sectors

Retail  and Consumer Discretionary stocks are delivering the best performance YTD, at 10.7% and 7.3% respectively.

Materials are the worst performers so far, at a negative 8.5% return YTD.












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equities

equities comparative performance YTD






alt mkts

alt mkts





sectors

sectors




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Bottom line
:
Our plan for 2009-2010 is to continue following our proven approach and strategies to
  • achieve outstanding returns, and
  • manage a skillfully diversified portfolio
We will do that in the comfort of our safe money management techniques that ensure full control of occasional minor losses while allowing full realization of large profits.

As usual, the full details of our market analysis and real-time trade suggestions will be delivered to you via the
OUTPACEsys e-mail alert system.


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