OUTPACEsys Singular Views for Profitable Investing

OUTPACEsys
Singular Views for Profitable Investing

24-28 November 2008

Thanksgiving Week Rally into Black Friday

Contents

Portfolio & Trades
Trends in Equities
Alternate Markets - Bonds - Commodities
Country-specific ETFs
Industry Sectors
Bottom Line

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Thanksgiving week and Black Friday brought a good mood to the stock market. In a moment we'll review one of our trades, a profitable one that we looked at as we followed the rally started last week with Tim Geithner's nomination to the Treasury secretary position in the new administration.

But first, the WEEK IN A NUTSHELL:

Stock indexes closed the week up, both in the US and overseas
Most sectors were up
Bonds were slightly down
Crude Oil didn't do much, while
Gold continued to climb
Our Long Term Portfolio is still in cash as we wait for the day the market gets out of this hellish fall (and that, unfortunately, may still be a long wait)
So we are currently focusing on short term trades

PORTFOLIO AND TRADES

Let us look at one of the short term trades we had last week, then we'll address all the other points in more detail.

OUR PORTFOLIO - All major equity indexes rallied last week as shown in the weekly Dow Jones Industrial chart:

Fig. 1a - Dow Jones Industrials, weekly view

and the Q's rallied as well:

Fig 1b - Q's Trade Alerts, 5 min view

The up-move started last Friday, we opened a new position early Monday, closing it on Friday morning, with the December 28 Call QAVLB. The $2,000 trade we got into the habit of discussing in these reports bought 12 contracts, with a 35% profit. The market had a rather narrow range this week, but this result is impressive nonetheless.

Note 1 - The table shows what you could do with a $2,000 amount utilized each trade. We are not compounding or re-investing, we buy the number of contracts allowed by the opening option price.

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LOOK AHEAD - Given the high volatility of the markets, next week we'll focus again on short term trades. We'll continue keeping on hold our long term positions.

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Click here for the video version of this report.

Click here to continue to Market Trends or enjoy the following video version:

24-28 November 2008

MARKET TRENDS - EQUITIES

All major equity indexes rallied last week as shown in the weekly Dow Jones Industrial chart

The performance comparison chart shows our favorite equity indexes up anywhere from 9 to 12% for the week, a very nice Thanksgiving rally in the stock market.

Longer term charts give a bit more sober view: in the month of November they lost 5 to 12% and the YTD performance is still down 35-40%.

International Stock also rallied this week across the board,

but the YTD performance data are down in the 35 to 55% range

So this week had a nice, positive flavor, but the rally is still in the counter-trend mode within a still on-going bear market. Starting a long term rally will take more effort.

Bonds were marginally down for the week, suffering from the rally in the equity world.

CRUDE OIL had a quiet week of little change

Our signals are still down

The good news is that gas at the pump is back down the $2 / gallon mark - one more reason for Thanksgiving here!

GOLD is still marching up. We'll have to see if the bull move continues or bounces back down next week. We are now on hold for Gold.

See below for comments on other market components.

The weekly performance comparison of the four markets clearly shows the nice equities rally, the slight up-move in Gold and Crude Oil and the small loss in Bonds.

The YTD view shows the S&P500 and Crude Oil contending the dubious title of worst performer, passing the -40% mark YTD.

Fig.1 - Dow Jones Industrials, weekly

Fig.2 - Equity Indexes - weekly performance comparison

Fig.3 - Equity Indexes - YTD performance comparison

Fig.4 - International Stocks - weekly performance comparison

countries YTD

Fig.5 - International Stocks - YTD performance comparison

bonds

Fig.6 - Bonds - weekly chart

Fig.7 - Crude Oil - weekly chart

Fig. 8 - Crude Oil - daily alerts

Fig.9 - Gold - weekly chart

Fig. 10 - Gold - daily alerts

Fig.11 - Major markets- weekly comparison chart

Fig 12 - Major markets - YTD performance comparison

Country-specific ETFs

On the right is a chart showing the relative Year-to-Date performance of five of the country-specific ETF's that we chose to represent current round- the-world status.

Fig.13 - Country specific trend comparison: YTD

Industry Sectors - Best & Worst

In the Sectors weekly view, the Financials outperformed the rest of the gang, ringing up a 30% gain this week, more than twice other Sectors' performance.

Legend:
Materials Select Sector, XLB
Energy Select Sector, XLE
Financial Select Sector, XLF
Rydex Russell Top 50, XLG
Industrial Select Sector, XLI
Technology Select Sector, XLK
Consumer Staples Select, XLP
Utilities Select Sector, XLU
Health Care Select Sector, XLV
Consumer Discretionary, XLY

Financials are still the worst performer YTD, down close to -60%.

Fig.14 - Sector comparative performance: 1 week

sectors ytd

Fig.15 - Sector comparative performance: YTD



	Bottom line: Our plan for 2008 is to continue following our proven approach and strategies to achieve outstanding returns, and manage a skillfully diversified portfolio We will do that in the comfort of our safe money management techniques that ensure full control of occasional minor losses while allowing full realization of large profits. As usual, the full details of our market analysis and real-time trade suggestions will be delivered to you via the OUTPACEsys e-mail alert system. * Want to supercharge your trading skills, boost your profits and limit risk? Read about our proven approach to winning trades and get high accuracy trade alerts at OUTPACEsys * Disclaimer \| Terms Of Use \| Privacy Notice © OUTPACEsys 2005-2008 All Rights Reserved The subjects addressed in this message should not be considered as personalized investment advice. Our employees may answer your general customer service questions, but they are not licensed under securities laws to address your particular and personal investment situation. No discussion with our employees should be deemed as personalized investment advice. Any of the investment concepts discussed in our websites and publications should be acted upon only after consulting with your broker or investment advisor and only after reviewing the prospectus or financial statements of the companies involved.