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| Contents |
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| PORTFOLIO AND TRADES
- This week we closed three long position in DIA and QQQQ, initiated in mid
July and
closed on Friday, aimed at following the ongoing bullish countertrend.
You can view
a description of this trade in this video. |
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| Underlying Equity | Symbol | Description | % Profit/Loss | Time in trade |
| DIA DIA QQQQ |
DIA
HJ DIA HL QQQHS |
AUG08 114 Call AUG08 118 Call AUG08 45.0 Call |
+23% +22% +85% |
12
days 12 days 10 days |
| IN A NUTSHELL
- Stocks continued their move
up last week and are now closer to challenging long term resistance.
Once again we had some very good opportunities for short-term long
trades. Equities indexes have been moving up in the last several weeks
but are still below mid-term resistance, which keeps on hold any
long-term trades. Crude Oil continued the strong correction and lost 8% this week. We expect a few more days of down movement before long term support is hit. Gold continued lower too and lost about 4% this week. LOOK AHEAD - Given the indecisive posture of the markets, next week we'll focus on short term trades. We'll continue keeping on hold our long term positions. ***
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| Dear
Fellow Investor, This is the latest of our reports providing status and trends of the major components of the financial markets, both in the US and internationally. We will review the major indexes and key sectors of the market. We will also report on Alternate Markets and on the performance of specific industries. These reviews form the basis of the in-depth analyses that feed our analytical models, upon which we base our trading approach and drive our trade selection process. In the interest of not wasting anybody's time, we keep these notes concise and to the point, while we strive to provide clear indications on the identified trends and very actionable suggestions. We hope you will enjoy the following reviews of this week's events. If you have any questions or suggestions, please feel free to e-mail us here! |
| 4 - 8 August 2008 Market Trends - Equities There's an up-beat tone to the market these days, which resulted in an 4% gain over the week for the NASAQ 100 and not much less for both the Dow and The S&P 500. The short-term uptrend is confirmed and should allow for additional upmove. Click here for the video version of this report. The charts at the right show the price history, in terms of relative performance, of the S&P500, the Dow Jones, and the Nasdaq 100 indexes. Weekly and YTD views are shown. Individual weekly charts for the S&P, DJ and NASDAQ are on the right. See below for comments on other market components. |
![]() Fig.1
- Dow Jones Ind, NASDAQ100 and S&P500: 1 week comparative
performance
![]() Fig.2
- DJ Ind, NASDAQ100 and S&P500: YTD comparative performance
![]() Fig.3
- S&P500
- weekly chart
![]() Fig.4
- DowJones
Industrial - weekly chart
![]() Fig.6
- NASDAQ
100 - weekly chart
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| Country-specific ETFs With the exception of Taiwan, International stock did not experience the same positive results for the week as the US equities did. All the international markets we follow are in negative territory YTD and trending down. On the right is a chart showing the relative Year-to-Date performance of five of the country-specific ETF's that we chose to represent current round- the-world status. |
![]() Fig.7 - Country specific trend comparison: YTD |
Market Trends - Commodities Negative week for both Crude Oil and Gold, which lost 8% and 6% respectively. Crude Oil lost more than 35% from its recent peak and is now challenging long-term support. Gold fell below short-term aupport and is possibly entering a down move. Weekly charts for Oil and Gold are on the right. |
![]() Fig.8 - Crude Oil, Gold and Gov Bonds vs S&P500: 3 months ![]() Fig.9 - Crude Oil, Gold and Gov Bonds vs S&P500: YTD ![]() Fig.10
- Crude Oil, weekly chart
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Bottom line: Our plan for 2008 is to continue following our proven approach and strategies to
As usual, the full details of our market analysis and real-time trade suggestions will be delivered to you via the OUTPACEsys e-mail alert system.
*** Read about our proven approach to
winning
trades and ***
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